Analysis of the Socio-Economic and Environmental Consequences of the Russia-Ukraine War for the Sustainable Development of EU Countries

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Olha Prokopenko

Abstract

This study focuses on the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on the socio-economic and environmental factors of the EU member countries for sustainable development from the year 2017 to the year 2022. The research question of the ongoing conflict focuses on the consequences that the conflict has had on socioeconomic and environmental structures in the EU and an understanding of the impacts of war on sustainable development and their interrelation. To investigate GDP growth, inflation, unemployment rates, and CO2 emission during conflict times the authors employ econometric models coupled with environmental assessments on specific data from the EU countries, amount of CO2 emissions, and investment in renewable energy. This research shows that the war has impacted the economy of the affected countries negatively by reducing the GDP and increasing the inflation rate hence impacting sustainable development frames negatively. Similarly, it has worsened environmental problems such as CO2 emissions through the use of fossil fuels because of the conflict. But it has also ramped up spending on renewable energy, signifying that it could unlock the road to increased sustainability. The study therefore notes that the short-term socio-economic costs of the war remain a major concern while the view to renewable energy might present future opportunities towards sustainability. The paper also established the fact that policies to address the short-run shocks and those to deal with the long-run externalities should be holistically conceived and pursued. By the same token, it states that there is a need to sustain and expand support for renewable energy sources while giving a special focus on providing aid to cushion the social and economic effects of geopolitical instabilities. More discussion should be made on the long-run impact of renewables investment and there should be studies on the impacts of geopolitical tensions on sustainable on sustainable future across various fields and nations.

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Prokopenko, O. (2023). Analysis of the Socio-Economic and Environmental Consequences of the Russia-Ukraine War for the Sustainable Development of EU Countries. Law, Business and Sustainability Herald, 3(4), 52–71. Retrieved from https://lbsherald.org/index.php/journal/article/view/61
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